Cohere Labs has released the Agentic Task Ecosystem (ATE) dataset — roughly 696,000 published AI tools across 123,000 MCP servers, the largest open dataset of its kind — and its findings complicate the narrative that AI agents are rapidly swallowing occupations.
Key Findings
- Only 2.6% of tools clear the bar — under a strict test asking whether a tool fully carries out an occupational task (rather than merely informing a person doing it), about one tool in forty qualifies
- 419 of 923 U.S. occupations have no agentic tools at all — for anyone asking which jobs agentic AI is “coming for,” the honest supply-side answer is that for nearly half of them, nobody is building anything yet
- Coverage is uneven — tools cluster in software/IT work and information-structuring roles; graphic designers have tools matching 11 of their 15 software-performable tasks
- What gets built follows feasibility, not preference — expert judgments of technical feasibility predict which occupations receive tools; workers’ own preferences about what they want automated predict nothing
Where Automation Lands Inside Jobs
The study’s most nuanced finding: it’s not how much of an occupation is automated, but which parts.
- Healthcare and computing — tools reach toward the specialized end, leaving humans the routine remainder (“expertise-lowering automation”)
- Legal, production, and sales — tools stay at the routine edges, leaving the specialized core with people (“expertise-raising automation”)
Specialized work resists automation when it’s physical or interpersonal — and gives way when it’s already conducted through software. Clinical Data Managers (143 tools) and Biostatisticians (82 tools) are the clearest cases of specialized information work attracting heavy automation.
The Other 98%
Grouping unmatched tools by similarity, the researchers found:
- Mostly existing work at the wrong grain — “subatomic” tools that do pieces of tasks, or “composite” tools bundling several tasks
- Agent infrastructure — tools for registering, discovering, and managing agents themselves (the operating overhead of automation)
- Only ~3% genuinely new work — and most of it is about managing agents: selecting synthetic voices, developing AI personas, assessing agent trustworthiness
Why It Matters
ATE is a supply-side signal — what developers judge ready to automate, ahead of adoption data. The researchers connect it to labor economics: entry-level hiring in AI-exposed occupations has already fallen behind, and if routine tasks (how juniors traditionally learn) are automated, “how people become experts strikes us as one of the more important open questions about AI and work.”
The dataset is being released publicly so researchers, developers, and policymakers can track the agentic transition as it happens.